Category Archives: Monetary Policy

A Policy Rule Presented at a Conference 25 Years Ago Today

Ed Nelson sent me a nice note today saying that the past two days (November 20-21) mark “the twenty-fifth anniversary of the Carnegie-Rochester Conference at which you laid out your rule.” I had forgotten about the specific dates, but his … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy, Teaching Economics

New Results on International Monetary Policy Presented at the Swiss National Bank

This week I gave the Swiss National Bank’s  Annual Karl Brunner Lecture in Zurich, and I thank Thomas Jordan who introduced me and the hundreds of central bankers, bankers, and academics who filled the big auditorium. Karl was a brilliant, … Continue reading

Posted in International Economics, Monetary Policy

Still Learning From Milton Friedman: Version 3.0

We can still learn much from Milton Friedman, as we celebrate his 105th birthday today.  Here I consider what we can learn from his participation in the monetary policy debates in the 1960s and 1970s. I draw from a 2002 … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy

A Whole New Section on Policy Rules in Fed’s Report

The Federal Reserve Board’s semi-annual Monetary Policy Report issued by Chair Janet Yellen last Friday contains a whole new section called “Monetary Policy Rules and Their Role in the Federal Reserve’s Policy Process.” The section contains new information and is … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy

Reserve Balances and the Fed’s Balance Sheet in the Future

An important part of the Fed’s normalization policy is to reduce its holdings of securities and thereby reserve balances—deposits of banks at the Fed—used to finance these holdings. As I argued when quantitative easing began in 2009, this reduction should … Continue reading

Posted in Financial Crisis, Monetary Policy, Regulatory Policy

R-Star Wars

In a recent speech at the Economic Club of New York, Fed Governor Jay Powell stated that the endpoint of the Fed’s normalization process “will occur when our target reaches the long-run neutral rate of interest. Estimates of that rate … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy

ECB Watching

Hundreds of financial market participants and news reporters showed up for the 18th annual “ECB and its Watchers” conference in Frankfurt last week. I was one of the speakers as I was at the first conference in 1999. It was … Continue reading

Posted in Monetary Policy